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Canucks at Predators
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
Nashville Predators
3
FinalTV FS-TN, SN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Nashville Predators 5-3. The Predators scored first; the Canucks answered. The Predators led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brock Boeser's goal at 14:08 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.4 to 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 32, NSH 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Pekka Rinne stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brock Boeser (2 G, 1 A), 2. Daniel Sedin (1 G, 2 A), 3. Craig Smith (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Boeser2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    D. Sedin1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    C. Smith1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN08212312532
NSHNSH011310011332

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(9)
    M. Irwin (3)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    0-1
    2:42
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(12)
    B. Horvat (9), A. Edler (5)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    2:54
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(13)PPG
    C. Smith (5)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    4:31
  4. VAN
    L. Eriksson(4)
    D. Sedin (8), H. Sedin (11)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    14:11
  5. NSH
    N. Bonino(4)
    C. Jarnkrok (6), R. Josi (11)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:45

3rd period

  1. VAN
    D. Sedin(6)PPG
    B. Boeser (12), H. Sedin (12)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    10:22
  2. VAN
    B. Boeser(13)
    N. Goldobin (1), B. Hutton (4)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +38 pts
    4-3
    14:08
  3. VAN
    L. Eriksson(5)EN
    D. Sedin (9), H. Sedin (13)
    wristxG 0.64win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:03

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:48VANChris Tanev · Interferencedrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 19:49NSHFilip Forsberg · Boardingdrawn by Sven Baertschi2 min

2nd

  • 3:32VANMichael Del Zotto · Hookingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 5:15VANMarkus Granlund · High stickingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 6:38NSHKyle Turris · High stickingdrawn by Michael Del Zotto2 min

3rd

  • 8:41NSHP.K. Subban · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 10:52VANAlexander Edler · Interferencedrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 19:41NSHFilip Forsberg · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalVAN goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Brock Boeser, 3rd 14:08 — VAN 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.46C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.23N. Bonino · Goal · xG 0.22K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.18R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.15K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.14F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.12C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.11C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.10R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.09K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.08K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.08C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.08F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.04A. Bitetto · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.03P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.02R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Irwin · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.00P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH3 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsNSH
3.04 G
All situations
3 G3.4
1.83 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN32%68%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.29 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsNSH
32
Shots on goal
32
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/4
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
15
Hits
19
12
Blocked shots
14
10
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53B. HorvatC011+230.190304623:28
23A. EdlerD011+320.22302—22:55
8C. TanevD000+300.00212—21:32
5D. PouliotD000010.05030—19:29
27B. HuttonD011020.05020—18:38
4M. Del ZottoD000-120.03012—18:16
6B. BoeserR213+250.43100—17:48
21L. ErikssonL202+130.79000—16:48
89S. GagnerC000020.060007116:31
51T. StecherD000-110.05210—16:04
47S. BaertschiL000010.08200—14:26
50B. GaunceC000-110.192105014:01
33H. SedinC033+110.060005713:34
77N. GoldobinR011+210.06000—13:02
22D. SedinL123+140.50100—12:34
26T. VanekL000000.08100—12:28
60M. GranlundC000-120.14002012:10
18J. VirtanenR000-110.00100—09:17
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(W)32293.9063.37+0.3760:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).