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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+, MSG 2·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mats Zuccarello's goal at 16:03 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 74% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.0 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 28, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 34 of 39 (.872), 2.0 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Mats Zuccarello (2 G), 2. Rick Nash (2 A), 3. Jesper Fast (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zuccarello2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    R. Nash2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Fast1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0719112228
NYRNYR113212214539

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:14

2nd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    9:42
  2. NJD
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    13:45
  3. NYR
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.27win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    16:03

3rd period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    1-4
    6:21
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.08win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    6:34
  3. NYR
    R. Nash (8), J. Fast (8)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    11:59

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·NYR 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:19NJDMiles Wood · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 10:31NYRBrady Skjei · Trippingdrawn by Blake Coleman2 min

2nd

  • 2:45NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 2:45NJDMiles Wood · Roughingdrawn by Kevin Shattenkirk2 min
  • 2:45NYRKevin Shattenkirk · Roughingdrawn by Miles Wood2 min
  • 4:57NJDTaylor Hall · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min
  • 14:01NYRBrendan Smith · Delaying game puck over glassdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min

3rd

  • 2:04NYRChris Kreider · Cross checkingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Mats Zuccarello, 2nd 16:03 — NYR 74% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.36M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.27C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.20J. Fast · Goal · xG 0.19R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.17R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.14P. Carey · Missed · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.13P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.12K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Nieves · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.05R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.04K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.03R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02D. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.01P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.00K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.00J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.0 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
2.12 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.52 G
Even strength
5 G2.3
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD33%67%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.06 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
28
Shots on goal
39
62%
Faceoffs
38%
0/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
29
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28D. SeversonD101-110.06300—21:47
2J. MooreD000-110.03400—21:29
45S. VatanenD000-320.01210—20:36
6A. GreeneD000000.02040—20:16
9T. HallL000-210.050026717:34
8W. ButcherD011-130.09110—17:17
63J. BrattL000-310.09110—16:43
37P. ZachaC011030.531005016:41
13N. HischierC000-330.292002516:08
39B. GibbonsC000+130.09340016:05
12B. LovejoyD000020.17220—16:03
44M. WoodL101+130.14116—15:37
90M. JohanssonL000-110.17020—14:54
11B. BoyleC000-110.142009014:01
40B. ColemanL011000.0140010013:51
19T. ZajacC000000.001005013:06
10J. HayesR000-120.20200—12:31
23S. NoesenR011010.00000—09:21
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(L)39345.8723.02-1.9860:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).