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New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the New York Rangers 3-2. The Rangers scored first; the Devils answered. The Devils led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Miles Wood's goal at 16:41 of the second period, which took the Devils' chances from 47% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 2.3 to 2.1; shots on goal were NJD 19, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Ondrej Pavelec stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Keith Kinkaid (29 saves, .935), 2. Will Butcher (2 A), 3. Rick Nash (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    K. Kinkaid29 saves, .935
  2. ★★
    NJD
    W. Butcher2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    R. Nash1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD0321214319
NYRNYR01413114231

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:31
  2. NJD
    snapxG 0.20win prob +19 pts
    1-1
    10:21
  3. NJD
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +22 pts
    2-1
    16:41

3rd period

  1. NJD
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    1:00
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    3-2
    19:03

Penalties

NJD 8 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 0:43NJDDamon Severson · Slashingdrawn by J.T. Miller2 min
  • 5:02NYRRick Nash · High stickingdrawn by Steven Santini2 min
  • 13:18NJDPavel Zacha · Slashingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min

2nd

  • 7:55NYRDavid Desharnais · Slashingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
  • 16:58NYRRick Nash · Elbowingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 20:00NJDKyle Palmieri · Slashingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 20:00NYRChris Kreider · Roughingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min

3rd

  • 0:40NYRTony DeAngelo · Cross checkingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 2:28NYRBrendan Smith · Cross checkingdrawn by Kyle Palmieri2 min
  • 8:08NJDBen Lovejoy · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalNJD goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Miles Wood, 2nd 16:41 — NJD 47% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.16B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.15R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09D. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.08M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.08K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.07R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.07P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.05K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.05J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · Missed · xG 0.04J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04D. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.04M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03T. DeAngelo · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.02B. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.01M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR2 G · 2.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsNYR
2.33 G
All situations
2 G2.1
1.22 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD42%58%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.66 – 2.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsNYR
19
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
12
28
Hits
34
20
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
16
7
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. GreeneD000010.02330—25:44
28D. SeversonD000-120.04002—21:05
16S. SantiniD000030.03430—20:29
21K. PalmieriC000010.083225020:20
9T. HallL000-220.293107520:11
40B. ColemanL000010.142303617:59
2J. MooreD000-120.10210—17:56
63J. BrattL000000.06100—17:22
18D. StaffordR101-230.2810010017:20
14A. HenriqueC101+110.970104817:18
39B. GibbonsC011+210.10100017:06
13N. HischierC011-100.023002317:04
12B. LovejoyD011+100.00142—15:54
8W. ButcherD022+100.01110—14:49
44M. WoodL101+220.18210—14:04
10J. HayesR000000.00100—06:56
37P. ZachaC000000.000026705:35
90M. JohanssonL000000.00000—04:48
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(W)31292.9352.08+0.0860:00

Season series

NJD leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).