Skip to content
Stars at Avalanche
NHL

Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche

NHL scoreboard
Dallas Stars
▸7
Colorado Avalanche
2
FinalTV FS-SW, ALT·Pepsi Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Colorado Avalanche 7-2. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jason Spezza's goal at 6:48 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 65% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.0 to 1.3; shots on goal were DAL 28, COL 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.7 goals below expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 16 of 18 (.889), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Seguin (2 G), 2. Brett Ritchie (2 G), 3. John Klingberg (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    T. Seguin2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Ritchie2 G
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    J. Klingberg2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL25212311728
COLCOL0112808227

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. DAL
    T. Seguin(13)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    14:44
  2. DAL
    T. Seguin(14)
    A. Radulov (15), J. Klingberg (19)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    19:10

2nd period

  1. COL
    M. Rantanen(8)
    N. MacKinnon (21)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    0:39
  2. DAL
    J. Spezza(4)
    D. Shore (10), J. Klingberg (20)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    6:48
  3. DAL
    G. Pateryn(1)
    A. Radulov (16), J. Benn (12)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    7:52
  4. COL
    B. Comeau(6)
    M. Nieto (2), C. Soderberg (7)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    4-2
    12:45

3rd period

  1. DAL
    B. Ritchie(2)
    C. McKenzie (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +7 pts
    5-2
    4:02
  2. DAL
    D. Shore(3)EN
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.40
    6-2
    17:24
  3. DAL
    B. Ritchie(3)
    R. Faksa (6), E. Lindell (6)
    wristxG 0.14
    7-2
    18:10

Penalties

DAL 6 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 1:42COLAlexander Kerfoot · Slashingdrawn by Julius Honka2 min

2nd

  • 13:19COLJ.T. Compher · Holdingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min
  • 15:43DALBrett Ritchie · Roughingdrawn by Gabriel Bourque2 min
  • 17:48COLserved by B. Comeau · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 8:16DALJamie Benn · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 13:34COLSven Andrighetto · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Radulov2 min
  • 15:50DALRadek Faksa · Slashingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalDAL goalFinal: COL 0%

Biggest swing: Jason Spezza, 2nd 6:48 — DAL 65% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Rantanen · Goal · xG 0.17C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.10N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.09B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.09C. Soderberg · Missed · xG 0.09M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.06T. Barrie · Missed · xG 0.06J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.05S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.05C. Soderberg · On goal · xG 0.05T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.04T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.03N. Yakupov · On goal · xG 0.03S. Andrighetto · On goal · xG 0.03N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.02E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Compher · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kerfoot · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nieto · Missed · xG 0.01J. Compher · Missed · xG 0.01A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.01E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01E. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Comeau · Missed · xG 0.01T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Barberio · Missed · xG 0.01S. Girard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zadorov · Missed · xG 0.01M. Nieto · On goal · xG 0.01B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.00E. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00T. Barrie · On goal · xG 0.00A. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00
COL2 G · 1.3 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsCOL
2.06 G
All situations
2 G1.3
1.46 G
Even strength
2 G0.9
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL57%43%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.58 – 1.30

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsCOL
28
Shots on goal
27
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/4
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
10
Hits
18
20
Blocked shots
10
3
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
29G. PaterynD101+210.01140—22:23
2D. HamhuisD000+200.00110—21:46
14J. BennL011+210.010127521:37
3J. KlingbergD022+210.04110—21:10
91T. SeguinC202+240.210107620:34
47A. RadulovR022+240.21000—20:13
23E. LindellD011+100.00230—19:59
28S. JohnsD000+230.07120—17:51
12R. FaksaC011+110.050124116:59
13M. JanmarkC000+100.00020016:47
18T. PitlickC000010.0211010015:24
90J. SpezzaC101020.130004714:31
40R. ElieL000010.01100—13:52
6J. HonkaD000+110.00000—13:37
17D. ShoreC112+110.511206712:16
25B. RitchieR202+240.33102—10:11
46G. SmithC000+100.000004307:59
11C. McKenzieL011+230.43010—06:52
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen(W)27252.9261.30-0.7059:59

Season series

COL leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).