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Blue Jackets at Sabres
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸3
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV FS-O, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 3-2. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Luc Dubois's goal at 4:14 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 47% to 64%. Expected goals were close — CBJ 1.7, BUF 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 29, BUF 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 30 of 32 (.938); Robin Lehner stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (1 G), 2. Pierre-Luc Dubois (1 G), 3. Evander Kane (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    A. Panarin1 G
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    P. Dubois1 G
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    E. Kane1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ01211225329
BUFBUF07010215232

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    P. Dubois(3)
    O. Bjorkstrand (8), M. Nutivaara (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    4:14

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    A. Panarin(5)
    M. Nutivaara (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:47
  2. CBJ
    B. Jenner(3)
    C. Atkinson (3), B. Dubinsky (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +5 pts
    3-0
    9:24
  3. BUF
    S. Reinhart(4)
    V. Antipin (4), R. O'Reilly (9)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +4 pts
    3-1
    9:37
  4. BUF
    E. Kane(12)
    J. Eichel (12), M. Scandella (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +9 pts
    3-2
    16:28

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·BUF 4 PIM

1st

  • 15:13BUFserved by J. Eichel · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

2nd

  • 4:38CBJDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 15:30CBJJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 18:05CBJSeth Jones · Holdingdrawn by Evander Kane2 min
  • 19:52BUFEvander Kane · Interferencedrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalCBJ goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Luc Dubois, 2nd 4:14 — CBJ 47% → 64%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.15K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.15S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.11N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.11J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.11K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.09J. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.07R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.06K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.06K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.05R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.04J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.03V. Antipin · On goal · xG 0.03V. Antipin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Griffith · On goal · xG 0.02N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.02R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01J. Falk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01B. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scandella · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · Goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.01J. McCabe · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.01S. Griffith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.00N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 1.9 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsBUF
1.73 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.53 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ46%54%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.68 – 1.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsBUF
29
Shots on goal
32
32%
Faceoffs
68%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
15
18
Blocked shots
6
3
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7J. JohnsonD000+120.02150—23:19
3S. JonesD000-130.10002—22:28
8Z. WerenskiD000-200.00010—21:13
58D. SavardD000+120.02112—20:04
17B. DubinskyC011+100.003003719:38
13C. AtkinsonR011+100.17020—18:42
9A. PanarinL101+120.43000—17:34
71N. FolignoL000-100.002202717:34
77J. AndersonR000040.05302—17:34
27R. MurrayD000+100.00000—16:54
18P. DuboisC101+150.361103816:05
38B. JennerC101+130.18130016:00
28O. BjorkstrandR011040.14010—15:59
64T. MotteC000-100.00110014:45
65M. NutivaaraD022+210.11110—14:07
37M. HannikainenL000020.09100—08:15
22S. MilanoL000000.00000—07:01
14J. SchroederC000010.01000006:53
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)32302.9381.91-0.0960:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).