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Sabres at Blue Jackets
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
Columbus Blue Jackets
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN·Nationwide Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 15:20 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 73% to 89%. Expected goals were close — BUF 2.4, CBJ 2.3; shots on goal were BUF 35, CBJ 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 2.7 goals below expected; Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.4 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sergei Bobrovsky (34 saves, .971), 2. Seth Jones (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Foligno (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    S. Bobrovsky34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    CBJ
    S. Jones1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CBJ
    N. Foligno1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF01401318135
CBJCBJ19318111538

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    O. Bjorkstrand(2)PPG
    S. Milano (1), S. Jones (5)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    12:00

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    S. Jones(2)
    B. Dubinsky (2), C. Atkinson (1)
    snapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    15:20
  2. CBJ
    N. Foligno(3)
    J. Johnson (3)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    17:38
  3. CBJ
    M. Calvert(2)
    M. Nutivaara (1), R. Murray (2)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    18:19

3rd period

  1. BUF
    S. Griffith(1)
    J. Nolan (1), J. Larsson (2)
    wristxG 0.07
    1-4
    17:26
  2. CBJ
    J. Anderson(2)
    A. Panarin (9), A. Wennberg (6)
    wristxG 0.03
    1-5
    19:21

Penalties

BUF 4 PIM·CBJ 2 PIM

1st

  • 10:43BUFZach Redmond · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

2nd

  • 18:35CBJserved by Z. Dalpe · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min

3rd

  • 3:07BUFZemgus Girgensons · High stickingdrawn by Sonny Milano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CBJ goalBUF goalFinal: CBJ 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jones, 2nd 15:20 — CBJ 73% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.21N. Foligno · Goal · xG 0.18C. Atkinson · Missed · xG 0.15S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.11M. Calvert · Goal · xG 0.11N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.10S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.09Z. Werenski · Missed · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.08A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.07J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.06A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.05M. Calvert · On goal · xG 0.05O. Bjorkstrand · Goal · xG 0.04B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.04S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.03D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.03C. Atkinson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.03J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.02S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.02O. Bjorkstrand · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02J. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Werenski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Dubinsky · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01M. Nutivaara · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Murray · On goal · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01B. Jenner · On goal · xG 0.00
CBJ5 G · 2.3 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsCBJ
2.41 G
All situations
5 G2.3
2.11 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF52%48%CBJ

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsCBJ
35
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/1
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
21
Hits
18
10
Blocked shots
11
2
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-120.07310—25:45
6M. ScandellaD000-120.05000—23:38
19J. McCabeD000000.05330—19:05
5M. TennysonD000-100.00000—18:07
9E. KaneL000-210.012005017:38
90R. O'ReillyC000-150.561006717:27
38Z. RedmondD000-150.23102—17:24
15J. EichelC000-220.180002016:26
23S. ReinhartC000-100.050006116:20
93V. AntipinD000-230.13020—16:01
95J. BaileyR000-210.14110—14:51
21K. OkposoR000040.26010—14:46
28Z. GirgensonsC000-110.01302014:37
22J. LarssonL011010.193006014:20
29J. PominvilleR000-150.31100—13:45
17J. NolanC011+100.00200012:45
67B. PouliotL000-100.0010010012:40
25S. GriffithC101+130.11020011:08
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson(L)38335.8682.27-2.7360:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).