Skip to content

Buffalo Sabres at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV MSG-B, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Buffalo Sabres 2-1 in overtime, Max Pacioretty scoring at 3:08. The Sabres scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Sabres led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Max Pacioretty's goal at 3:08 of overtime, which took the Canadiens' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 35, MTL 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Chad Johnson stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Charlie Lindgren stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Charlie Lindgren (34 saves, .971), 2. Max Pacioretty (1 G, 1 A), 3. Chad Johnson (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Lindgren34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Pacioretty1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BUF
    C. Johnson27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
BUFBUF1170110700135
MTLMTL070111813229

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    wristxG 0.39win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    19:54

3rd period

  1. MTL
    A. Shaw(4)PPG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +24 pts
    1-1
    1:01

Overtime

  1. MTL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    1-2
    3:08

Penalties

BUF 7 PIM·MTL 11 PIM

1st

  • 8:29MTLCharles Hudon · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 16:33MTLJordie Benn · Fightingdrawn by Josh Gorges5 min
  • 16:33BUFJosh Gorges · Fightingdrawn by Jordie Benn5 min
  • 18:33MTLArtturi Lehkonen · Holdingdrawn by Jason Pominville2 min

2nd

  • 2:36MTLAlex Galchenyuk · Trippingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu2 min
  • 19:09BUFJack Eichel · Slashingdrawn by Tomas Plekanec2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalBUF goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Max Pacioretty, OT 3:08 — MTL 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.19M. Pacioretty · Goal · xG 0.17A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.14P. Byron · On goal · xG 0.13M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.12M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.11M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.07T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.07C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.06A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.06M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.06P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.05P. Byron · Missed · xG 0.05S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.03A. Shaw · Goal · xG 0.03T. Plekanec · On goal · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.03A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.01A. Shaw · Missed · xG 0.01T. Plekanec · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.01J. de la Rose · On goal · xG 0.01C. Hudon · On goal · xG 0.01B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL2 G · 1.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsMTL
3.61 G
All situations
2 G1.9
2.30 G
Even strength
1 G1.6
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF73%27%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.20 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsMTL
35
Shots on goal
29
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/3
Power play
1/1
7
Penalty minutes
11
32
Hits
32
12
Blocked shots
6
12
Giveaways
19
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6M. ScandellaD000040.12130—25:11
90R. O'ReillyC101-120.442003922:00
19J. McCabeD000030.06110—21:40
9E. KaneL011050.782006721:26
15J. EichelC000030.292123321:23
82N. BeaulieuD000-110.23210—21:19
21K. OkposoR011030.63100—20:24
41J. FalkD000010.03520—19:04
67B. PouliotL000-110.06100—17:37
23S. ReinhartC000050.33000016:26
27T. FedunD000020.02110—16:24
22J. LarssonL000000.003203316:22
4J. GorgesD000000.00315—15:56
29J. PominvilleR000010.1600010014:03
26M. MoulsonL000010.07000—12:29
28Z. GirgensonsC000010.17300010:08
17J. NolanC000000.11300008:40
13N. BaptisteR000020.09200—07:00
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31C. Johnson(O)29272.9311.91-0.0963:08

Season series

MTL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).