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Red Wings at Flames
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
3
Calgary Flames
▸6
FinalTV FS-D, SNF·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-3. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 13:56 of the first period, which took the Flames' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.8 to 3.0; shots on goal were DET 42, CGY 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.7 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 39 of 42 (.929). Three stars: 1. Jaromir Jagr (1 G, 1 A), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (2 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Mantha (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Jagr1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Mantha1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET010321011342
CGYCGY21531019634

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    M. Jankowski(1)
    J. Jagr (3), S. Bennett (1)
    deflectedxG 0.23win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    9:15
  2. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(5)
    S. Monahan (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    13:56

2nd period

  1. CGY
    M. Ferland(6)
    M. Backlund (5)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    6:02
  2. DET
    M. Frk(6)PPG
    A. Mantha (7), D. Larkin (13)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +6 pts
    1-3
    8:43
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(4)
    B. Kulak (2), M. Backlund (6)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    1-4
    12:23
  4. DET
    F. Nielsen(6)
    A. Mantha (8), M. Green (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
    2-4
    15:49
  5. CGY
    J. Jagr(1)
    J. Gaudreau (16), B. Kulak (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +5 pts
    2-5
    17:01
  6. DET
    A. Mantha(8)
    J. Ericsson (3), F. Nielsen (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +6 pts
    3-5
    19:56

3rd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(6)EN
    S. Monahan (8)
    wristxG 0.51
    3-6
    17:37

Penalties

DET 9 PIM·CGY 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:18DETAnthony Mantha · Roughingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min

2nd

  • 8:04CGYSam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 13:09CGYMark Giordano · Trippingdrawn by Luke Glendening2 min
  • 14:57CGYTroy Brouwer · Fightingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader5 min
  • 14:57DETJustin Abdelkader · Fightingdrawn by Troy Brouwer5 min

3rd

  • 2:01CGYDougie Hamilton · Slashingdrawn by Martin Frk2 min
  • 7:17DETMartin Frk · Interferencedrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalDET goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 1st 13:56 — CGY 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.51M. Jankowski · Goal · xG 0.23S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.22M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.18J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.15S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12J. Jagr · Missed · xG 0.11M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.11M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.11J. Jagr · Goal · xG 0.10K. Versteeg · Missed · xG 0.10J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.10M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.08S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.07M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.07M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04J. Jagr · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.04D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03C. Lazar · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02J. Jagr · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01
CGY6 G · 3.8 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsCGY
3.03 G
All situations
5 G3.8
2.12 G
Even strength
5 G3.0
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.98 – 3.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsCGY
42
Shots on goal
34
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
12
Hits
13
10
Blocked shots
16
12
Giveaways
11
11
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25M. GreenD011-140.31100—23:52
39A. ManthaR123-230.36002—22:10
83T. DaleyD000-220.09010—21:18
71D. LarkinC011-460.361006320:00
55N. KronwallD000-200.00000—19:08
52J. EricssonD011-120.12010—18:48
14G. NyquistR000+110.10010—17:29
40H. ZetterbergC000-140.250004416:47
43D. HelmC000-120.14000016:41
3N. JensenD000000.00210—16:17
61X. OuelletD000-110.03030—15:36
72A. AthanasiouC000-240.470103315:05
51F. NielsenC112+240.210007514:53
41L. GlendeningC000-100.052106214:21
21T. TatarL000-340.14000—14:18
42M. FrkR101-210.12202—13:01
8J. AbdelkaderL000-130.24415—11:05
23S. WilsonC000010.00000005:26
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)33285.8483.27-1.7359:45

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).