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Islanders at Kings
NHL

New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings

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New York Islanders
2
Los Angeles Kings
▸3
FinalTV FS-W, MSG+·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the New York Islanders 3-2. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Josh Bailey's goal at 8:56 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 29% to 47%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.5 to 1.7; shots on goal were NYI 25, LAK 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Jaroslav Halak stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.3 goals below expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 23 of 25 (.920), 1.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Drew Doughty (1 G, 1 A), 2. Anze Kopitar (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mathew Barzal (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Kopitar1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    M. Barzal1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI0717111225
LAKLAK1111917327

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    A. Kopitar(4)
    D. Doughty (3), D. Brown (3)
    snapxG 0.03win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    12:44

2nd period

  1. NYI
    J. Bailey(2)
    M. Barzal (1), A. Ladd (2)
    backhandxG 0.21win prob +18 pts
    1-1
    8:56
  2. LAK
    J. Muzzin(1)PPG
    O. Fantenberg (2), T. Toffoli (2)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    11:32

3rd period

  1. LAK
    D. Doughty(2)SHG
    A. Kopitar (4)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    1-3
    5:44
  2. NYI
    C. Cizikas(3)
    C. Clutterbuck (1), T. Hickey (2)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.02win prob +10 pts
    2-3
    14:20

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·LAK 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:24NYIAdam Pelech · Boardingdrawn by Nicholas Shore2 min

2nd

  • 9:46NYIThomas Hickey · Holding the stickdrawn by Tyler Toffoli2 min
  • 17:06LAKJeff Carter · Slashingdrawn by Calvin de Haan2 min
  • 19:22NYIserved by J. Ho-Sang · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 3:46LAKAdrian Kempe · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalNYI goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Josh Bailey, 2nd 8:56 — NYI 29% → 47%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.18D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.18T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.13A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.10J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.09C. Folin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09D. Doughty · Goal · xG 0.07J. Muzzin · Goal · xG 0.06N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.04A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.04D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · Goal · xG 0.03A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.03J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.02O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.02D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK3 G · 1.7 xG · 33 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsLAK
3.52 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.52 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
1.10 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI80%20%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.51 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsLAK
25
Shots on goal
27
31%
Faceoffs
69%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
34
Hits
26
14
Blocked shots
18
4
Giveaways
13
0
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55J. BoychukD000-130.06010—22:29
91J. TavaresC000-110.701102921:55
2N. LeddyD000020.37310—21:14
50A. PelechD000+110.04122—19:33
44C. de HaanD000010.00110—18:51
27A. LeeL000020.23010—18:42
7J. EberleR000-160.88100—17:51
42S. MayfieldD000020.07330—17:25
12J. BaileyR101+110.32100—17:05
14T. HickeyD011+100.03132—16:39
66J. Ho-SangR000-100.11000—15:38
16A. LaddL011020.18200—14:26
13M. BarzalC011020.201006014:07
29B. NelsonC000-100.000102513:52
25J. ChimeraL000010.32300—12:29
53C. CizikasC101+110.026005011:54
15C. ClutterbuckR011+100.00600—10:58
86N. KuleminL000000.00400—09:53
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41J. Halak(L)27243.8891.71-1.2959:16

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).