Yankees at Mets
Last play · Ronald Hernandez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets0%
NYY 100%NYM 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 53.7% · hold 5.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -225
Mets favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luisangel Acuña scores. (inning 9) — +56% Mets
9Brandon Nimmo homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Tyrone Taylor scores. Luisangel Acuña scores.6–6
8Spencer Jones homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.6–3
7Braden Shewmake out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Oswald Peraza scores.5–3
7Jasson Domínguez grounds into a force out, second baseman Jefrey De Los Santos to shortstop Boston Baro. Ismael Munguia scores. Oswald Peraza to 3rd. Ben Rice out at 2nd. Jasson Domínguez to 1st.4–3
7Ben Rice walks. Pablo Reyes scores. Ismael Munguia to 3rd. Oswald Peraza to 2nd.3–3
5Hayden Senger singles on a ground ball to third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera. Luisangel Acuña scores. Starling Marte to 2nd.2–3
3Pete Alonso homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
3Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Jasson Domínguez scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










