Pirates at Twins
Last play · Sammy Siani called out on strikes.
Win probability
Twins100%
PIT 0%MIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 5 MIN
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -180
Twins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edouard Julien homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Jose F Miranda scores. (inning 2) — +26% Twins
5Byron Buxton homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–5
3Bryan Reynolds singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Matt Wallner. Jihwan Bae scores.1–4
2Carlos Correa singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Pham. Ty France scores. Matt Wallner to 2nd.0–4
2Edouard Julien homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Ryan Jeffers scores. Jose F Miranda scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










