Braves at Cubs
Last play · James Triantos grounds out, shortstop Nick Allen to first baseman Eli White.
Win probability
Cubs0%
ATL 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 10 – 2 CHC
Braves led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 8.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +130
Cubs favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gage Workman homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 2) — +26% Cubs
7Bryan De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Greg Allen. Cal Conley scores.13–4
7Cal Conley doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Greg Allen. Kevin Kilpatrick Jr. scores.12–4
6Carson Kelly doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Jonathon Long scores. Dixon Machado scores.11–4
6Nick Allen singles on a line drive to left fielder Gage Workman. Keshawn Ogans scores.11–2
5Cal Conley singles on a line drive to left fielder Gage Workman. Jarred Kelenic scores. Orlando Arcia scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.10–2
5Ozzie Albies homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.8–2
5Marcell Ozuna homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.7–2
5Matt Olson homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Austin Riley scores.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










