Pirates at Marlins
Last play · Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Javier Sanoja scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PIT 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 2 – 1 MIA
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Marlins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dane Myers singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 8) — +32% Marlins
9Kyle Stowers singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Javier Sanoja scores. Xavier Edwards to 3rd.4–5
8Dane Myers singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Otto Lopez scores.4–4
8Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Kyle Stowers scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.4–3
6Matt Mervis strikes out swinging.4–2
6Nick Gonzales homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Joey Bart scores.4–1
5Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to center fielder Derek Hill. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Tommy Pham to 3rd.2–1
3Xavier Edwards grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Derek Hill scores. Nick Fortes out at 2nd. Xavier Edwards to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










