Guardians at Royals
Last play · Bobby Witt Jr. flies out sharply to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Royals0%
CLE 100%KC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 3 KC
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 9) — +42% Royals
10Kyle Manzardo doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Steven Kwan scores. Carlos Santana scores.7–4
10Steven Kwan doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Brayan Rocchio scores.5–4
9Michael Massey out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Freddy Fermin scores.4–4
6Kyle Manzardo homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Carlos Santana scores.4–3
5José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Gabriel Arias scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.2–3
4Jhonkensy Noel out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Hunter Renfroe in foul territory. Kyle Manzardo scores.1–3
3Vinnie Pasquantino homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Isbel scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










