Orioles at Blue Jays
Last play · George Springer strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BAL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 6 – 2 TOR
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler O'Neill homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Colton Cowser scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 3) — -20% Orioles
8Jordan Westburg homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.12–2
8Adley Rutschman homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Holliday scores.11–2
7Cedric Mullins homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler O'Neill scores. Ryan Mountcastle scores.9–2
4Andrés Giménez homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.6–2
4Cedric Mullins homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.6–0
3Tyler O'Neill homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Colton Cowser scores. Adley Rutschman scores.5–0
2Cedric Mullins singles on a ground ball to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Tyler O'Neill scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.2–0
1Adley Rutschman homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










