Phillies at Nationals
Last play · CJ Abrams grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Nationals0%
PHI 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 1 WSH
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Bryson Stott scores. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 10) — -44% Phillies
10J.T. Realmuto triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Dylan Crews. Alec Bohm scores. Kyle Schwarber scores.7–3
10Alec Bohm doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Bryson Stott scores. Bryce Harper scores.5–3
8Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Jacob Young scores.3–3
8CJ Abrams grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper. Dylan Crews scores. Jacob Young to 3rd.3–2
8Trea Turner walks.3–1
7Kyle Schwarber homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
7Bryce Harper homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
5Keibert Ruiz homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










