Red Sox at Rangers
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, shortstop Corey Seager to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Rangers100%
BOS 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rangers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 5) — +15% Rangers
6Josh Jung singles on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Jake Burger scores. Josh Jung to 2nd.1–4
6Jake Burger doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Joc Pederson scores.1–3
5Jonah Heim homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.1–2
4Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Trevor Story scores. Kristian Campbell to 3rd.1–1
3Jonah Heim homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










