Athletics at Mariners
Last play · JJ Bleday grounds into a double play, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Rowdy Tellez. Lawrence Butler out at 2nd. JJ Bleday out at 1st.
Win probability
Mariners100%
ATH 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 1 – 0 SEA
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Mariners favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jorge Polanco homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Luke Raley scores. (inning 8) — +34% Mariners
8Jorge Polanco homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Luke Raley scores.2–4
8Randy Arozarena homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
8Tyler Soderstrom homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
7Victor Robles out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder JJ Bleday. J.P. Crawford scores.1–1
5Tyler Soderstrom homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










