Cubs at D-backs
Last play · Matt Shaw flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll in foul territory.
Win probability
D-backs100%
CHC 0%AZ 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 6 AZ
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
D-backs favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Pavin Smith scores. (inning 2) — +25% D-backs
7Alek Thomas singles on a sharp line drive to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd.1–8
7Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Ketel Marte scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 2nd.1–7
5Pavin Smith hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive to right field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.1–6
4Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Alek Thomas scores.1–5
4Eugenio Suárez homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Pavin Smith scores.1–4
2Eugenio Suárez homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Pavin Smith scores.1–2
2Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Dansby Swanson scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










