Giants at Reds
Last play · Luis Matos pops out to second baseman Matt McLain.
Win probability
Reds100%
SF 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 2 CIN
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Reds favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (1) on a line drive to right field. (inning 6) — +19% Reds
6Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (1) on a line drive to right field.2–3
5Elly De La Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luis Matos. Matt McLain scores.2–2
3Matt McLain homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
3Jung Hoo Lee singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jake Fraley. Heliot Ramos scores.2–0
2Wilmer Flores homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










