Pirates at Marlins
Last play · Dane Myers singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tommy Pham. Otto Lopez scores. Jonah Bride to 3rd. Eric Wagaman to 2nd.
Win probability
Marlins100%
PIT 0%MIA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 1 – 1 MIA
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Marlins favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to pitcher Joey Wentz. Dane Myers scores. Derek Hill to 2nd. (inning 11) — +42% Marlins
12Dane Myers singles on a fly ball to right fielder Tommy Pham. Otto Lopez scores. Jonah Bride to 3rd. Eric Wagaman to 2nd.4–5
11Kyle Stowers singles on a ground ball to pitcher Joey Wentz. Dane Myers scores. Derek Hill to 2nd.4–4
11Adam Frazier grounds out, shortstop Xavier Edwards to first baseman Eric Wagaman. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores.4–3
7Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Xavier Edwards scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.3–3
7Jihwan Bae strikes out swinging.3–2
6Derek Hill hits a ground-rule double (2) on a line drive to right field. Dane Myers scores.2–2
6Joey Bart singles on a line drive to center fielder Derek Hill. Oneil Cruz scores.2–1
5Xavier Edwards out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jihwan Bae. Nick Fortes scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










