Rockies at Rays
Last play · Curtis Mead grounds out, shortstop Ezequiel Tovar to first baseman Michael Toglia.
Win probability
Rays0%
COL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 0 TB
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Rays favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Nick Martini scores. Jordan Beck to 2nd. (inning 3) — -14% Rockies
8Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to right fielder Mickey Moniak. Christopher Morel scores.2–1
7Kyle Farmer singles on a line drive to right fielder Kameron Misner. Hunter Goodman scores. Kyle Farmer to 2nd.2–0
3Brenton Doyle singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Nick Martini scores. Jordan Beck to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










