Phillies at Nationals
Last play · Riley Adams grounds into a force out, shortstop Edmundo Sosa to second baseman Bryson Stott. Nathaniel Lowe out at 2nd.
Win probability
Nationals0%
PHI 100%WSH 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 2 – 2 WSH
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +130
Nationals favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Marsh scores. Edmundo Sosa scores. (inning 6) — -31% Phillies
9Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Josh Bell scores.11–6
8Nathaniel Lowe homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Amed Rosario scores.11–5
8Johan Rojas singles on a ground ball to third baseman Paul DeJong. Bryce Harper scores. Max Kepler to 2nd.11–3
7Brandon Marsh homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores.10–3
6Amed Rosario homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.7–3
6Kyle Schwarber homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Brandon Marsh scores. Edmundo Sosa scores.7–2
6Edmundo Sosa walks. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Brandon Marsh to 2nd.3–2
4Bryson Stott homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Max Kepler scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










