Cubs at D-backs
Last play · Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Garrett Hampson out at home, shortstop Dansby Swanson. Ketel Marte to 2nd.
Win probability
D-backs0%
CHC 100%AZ 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 1 AZ
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
D-backs favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Jon Berti scores. (inning 5) — -27% Cubs
9Eugenio Suárez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Josh Naylor scores.4–3
7Matt Shaw homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–1
5Kyle Tucker homers (1) on a line drive to right field. Jon Berti scores.3–1
4Miguel Amaya doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.1–1
2Jake McCarthy grounds out softly to first baseman Michael Busch. Randal Grichuk scores. Eugenio Suárez to 3rd. Gabriel Moreno to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










