Red Sox at Rangers
Last play · Triston Casas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
BOS 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 2 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rangers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adolis García homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 4) — +19% Rangers
8Carlos Narváez singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Romy Gonzalez scores.3–4
5Marcus Semien singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jarren Duran. Leody Taveras scores.2–4
4Adolis García homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
4Kristian Campbell homers (1) on a line drive to center field.2–2
2Rafael Devers walks. Wilyer Abreu scores. Kristian Campbell to 3rd. Carlos Narváez to 2nd.1–2
1Adolis García doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran, deflected by left fielder Kristian Campbell. Corey Seager scores. Wyatt Langford scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










