Guardians at Royals
Last play · Lane Thomas called out on strikes.
Win probability
Royals100%
CLE 0%KC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 1 KC
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Royals favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Maikel Garcia homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — +28% Royals
7Bobby Witt Jr. doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Dairon Blanco scores.3–4
7Maikel Garcia homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.3–3
6Salvador Perez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Kyle Isbel scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.3–2
5Steven Kwan homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.3–1
4Salvador Perez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Lane Thomas. Jonathan India scores.2–1
3Carlos Santana out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Steven Kwan scores.2–0
2Bo Naylor singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Nolan Jones scores. Lane Thomas to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










