Twins at Cardinals
Last play · Byron Buxton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cardinals100%
MIN 0%STL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 1 STL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cardinals favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Iván Herrera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Nolan Arenado scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Cardinals
8Brendan Donovan out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Byron Buxton. Victor Scott II scores. Masyn Winn to 3rd. Lars Nootbaar to 2nd.1–5
6Lars Nootbaar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. Alec Burleson scores. Iván Herrera scores. Jordan Walker to 2nd.1–4
6Iván Herrera singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Nolan Arenado scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.1–2
2Willi Castro doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Trevor Larnach scores.1–1
1Nolan Arenado singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Lars Nootbaar scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










