Marlins at Braves
Last play · Jakob Marsee strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIA 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 3 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -160
Braves favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Troy Johnston. Sean Murphy scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. (inning 2) — +10% Braves
7Michael Harris II homers (11) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores. Drake Baldwin scores.1–7
7Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Jurickson Profar scores. Matt Olson to 3rd. Drake Baldwin to 2nd.1–4
6Xavier Edwards singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Javier Sanoja scores.1–3
3Drake Baldwin singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Nick Allen scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.0–3
2Eli White out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dane Myers. Michael Harris II scores.0–2
2Ozzie Albies grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Troy Johnston. Sean Murphy scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








