Guardians at Orioles
Last play · Daniel Schneemann strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles100%
CLE 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 4 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Orioles favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Ryan O'Hearn homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 3) — +38% Orioles
6Heston Kjerstad homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jordan Westburg scores.2–6
3Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Ryan O'Hearn homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores.2–4
3Austin Hedges homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
3Daniel Schneemann homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
1Gunnar Henderson homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










