D-backs at Marlins
Last play · Xavier Edwards grounds out, third baseman Eugenio Suárez to first baseman Pavin Smith.
Win probability
Marlins0%
AZ 100%MIA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 6 – 3 MIA
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Marlins favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 5) — -13% D-backs
7Xavier Edwards walks. Griffin Conine scores. Javier Sanoja to 3rd. Liam Hicks to 2nd.6–4
5Javier Sanoja pops out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.6–3
5Josh Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.6–2
4Rob Brantly singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Javier Sanoja scores.5–2
4Geraldo Perdomo singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Dane Myers. Corbin Carroll scores.5–1
4Corbin Carroll singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Tim Tawa scores.4–1
3Pavin Smith doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Javier Sanoja. Geraldo Perdomo scores.3–1
1Eric Wagaman hits a ground-rule double (3) on a line drive to right field. Xavier Edwards scores. Connor Norby to 3rd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










