Mariners at Reds
Last play · Jake Fraley flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
Win probability
Reds0%
SEA 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 4 – 2 CIN
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Reds favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Fraley hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Gavin Lux scores. Jeimer Candelario scores. Blake Dunn scores. (inning 8) — +78% Reds
10Donovan Solano reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Mitch Garver scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.11–7
10Randy Arozarena doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Blake Dunn. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 3rd.10–7
10J.P. Crawford singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Dylan Moore scores. Miles Mastrobuoni to 2nd.8–7
9Randy Arozarena homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.7–7
9Cal Raleigh homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.6–7
8Jake Fraley hits a grand slam (1) to right center field. Gavin Lux scores. Jeimer Candelario scores. Blake Dunn scores.5–7
8J.P. Crawford doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Ben Williamson scores. Miles Mastrobuoni to 3rd.5–3
7TJ Friedl out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Miles Mastrobuoni. Blake Dunn scores. Jake Fraley to 3rd.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










