Twins at Braves
Last play · DaShawn Keirsey Jr. grounds out, pitcher Raisel Iglesias to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIN 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 4 – 1 ATL
Twins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Braves favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to right fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr., deflected by second baseman Edouard Julien. Matt Olson scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Eli White to 3rd. (inning 8) — +44% Braves
8Drake Baldwin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Eli White scores. Michael Harris II scores.4–6
8Michael Harris II singles on a ground ball to right fielder DaShawn Keirsey Jr., deflected by second baseman Edouard Julien. Matt Olson scores. Ozzie Albies scores. Eli White to 3rd.4–4
8Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to first baseman Ty France. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.4–2
5Jarred Kelenic homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
4Edouard Julien out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Luke Keaschall scores.4–0
3Trevor Larnach homers (1) on a line drive to right center field.3–0
2Luke Keaschall singles on a line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Ryan Jeffers scores.2–0
2Ryan Jeffers doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Carlos Correa scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










