Nationals at Pirates
Last play · Luis García Jr. called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
WSH 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Pirates favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 1) — +13% Pirates
1Oneil Cruz homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










