Cardinals at Mets
Last play · Nolan Gorman grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
STL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 4 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Mets
3Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Victor Scott II scores.1–4
2Francisco Lindor singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Brett Baty scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Lindor out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Jordan Walker to first baseman Willson Contreras to shortstop Brendan Donovan to second baseman Nolan Gorman.0–4
2Brett Baty singles on a fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Starling Marte scores.0–2
2Mark Vientos homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










