Reds at Orioles
Last play · Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CIN 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 7 – 1 BAL
Reds led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Orioles favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Elly De La Cruz homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Trevino scores. Santiago Espinal scores. (inning 3) — -36% Reds
8Heston Kjerstad homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Gary Sánchez scores.8–3
6Austin Hays singles on a fly ball to second baseman Jorge Mateo. Matt McLain scores. Santiago Espinal to 2nd. Throwing error by second baseman Jorge Mateo.8–1
4Matt McLain homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Trevino scores. Blake Dunn scores.7–1
4Jeimer Candelario homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
3Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: Elly De La Cruz homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Trevino scores. Santiago Espinal scores.3–1
2Cedric Mullins homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










