White Sox at Red Sox
Last play · Michael A. Taylor pops out to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
CWS 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 1 – 6 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Red Sox favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Story homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman scores. (inning 1) — +24% Red Sox
9Brooks Baldwin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Andrew Vaughn scores. Edgar Quero to 3rd.3–10
8Carlos Narváez homers (1) on a line drive to left center field.2–10
7Trevor Story homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman scores.2–9
6Joshua Palacios grounds out softly, pitcher Hunter Dobbins to first baseman Romy Gonzalez. Andrew Benintendi scores. Lenyn Sosa to 2nd.2–6
4Ceddanne Rafaela homers (1) on a line drive to left field. Carlos Narváez scores.1–6
4Andrew Benintendi homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.1–4
3Rob Refsnyder doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Andrew Benintendi. Trevor Story scores.0–4
1Trevor Story homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Rafael Devers scores. Alex Bregman scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










