Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 7 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+195 / -235
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 1) — +17% Phillies
6Eric Wagaman homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Stowers scores.2–7
5Kyle Schwarber homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.0–7
2Bryce Harper grounds out to first baseman Eric Wagaman.0–6
2Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alec Bohm scores. Johan Rojas to 3rd.0–5
2Johan Rojas singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. J.T. Realmuto scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.0–4
2Alec Bohm singles on a line drive to center fielder Jesús Sánchez. Max Kepler scores. J.T. Realmuto to 3rd.0–3
1Bryce Harper homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Trea Turner scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










