Yankees at Rays
Last play · Kameron Misner pops out to second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYY 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 0 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Paul Goldschmidt scores. J.C. Escarra to 2nd. (inning 2) — -15% Yankees
2Trent Grisham singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Paul Goldschmidt scores. J.C. Escarra to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










