Guardians at Pirates
CLE10–
PIT7Last play · Jack Suwinski strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CLE 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 5 – 2 PIT
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Pirates favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Naylor doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Carlos Santana scores. Gabriel Arias scores. (inning 4) — -26% Guardians
9Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Enmanuel Valdez singles on a fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Oneil Cruz scores. Bryan Reynolds out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Steven Kwan to third baseman José Ramírez. Enmanuel Valdez to 2nd.10–7
9Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.10–6
7Enmanuel Valdez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Andrew McCutchen scores.10–5
7Bryan Reynolds homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.10–3
7Brayan Rocchio out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Gabriel Arias scores.10–2
7Gabriel Arias doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Carlos Santana scores. Jhonkensy Noel scores.9–2
7Jhonkensy Noel doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Lane Thomas scores. José Ramírez scores. Carlos Santana to 3rd.7–2
5Carlos Santana reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Jared Triolo. José Ramírez scores.5–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.