D-backs at Cubs
Last play · Corbin Carroll flies out to shortstop Dansby Swanson.
Win probability
Cubs100%
AZ 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 2 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 10.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Cubs favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker homers (6) on a line drive to right field. Ian Happ scores. (inning 8) — +61% Cubs
8Seiya Suzuki homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.11–13
8Kyle Tucker homers (6) on a line drive to right field. Ian Happ scores.11–12
8Carson Kelly homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Nico Hoerner scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.11–10
8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Randal Grichuk scores. Josh Naylor scores.11–7
8Randal Grichuk doubles (6) on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Alek Thomas scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Randal Grichuk to 3rd. Randal Grichuk advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Ian Happ.8–7
8Geraldo Perdomo singles on a ground ball to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Jake McCarthy scores. Alek Thomas to 3rd.6–7
8Eugenio Suárez hits a grand slam (6) to center field. Randal Grichuk scores. Josh Naylor scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.5–7
7Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Kyle Tucker scores.1–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










