Twins at Braves
Last play · Luke Keaschall strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIN 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 2 ATL
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Braves favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Harris II homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — +21% Braves
6Alex Verdugo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Trevor Larnach. Nick Allen scores.3–4
6Michael Harris II homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.3–3
6Byron Buxton out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Brooks Lee scores.3–2
4Carlos Correa homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
3Matt Olson singles on a line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Alex Verdugo scores. Austin Riley to 2nd.1–2
1Matt Olson doubles (4) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Alex Verdugo scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.1–1
1Luke Keaschall doubles (2) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Byron Buxton scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










