Royals at Tigers
Last play · Kyle Isbel pops out to third baseman Javier Báez.
Win probability
Tigers100%
KC 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Tigers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Spencer Torkelson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Javier Báez scores. Kerry Carpenter scores. (inning 5) — +33% Tigers
7Freddy Fermin homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.1–3
5Spencer Torkelson homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Javier Báez scores. Kerry Carpenter scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










