Reds at Orioles
Last play · Jose Trevino lines out sharply to left fielder Ramón Laureano.
Win probability
Orioles100%
CIN 0%BAL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 5 BAL
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Orioles favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Laureano homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler O'Neill scores. (inning 3) — +23% Orioles
9Austin Hays homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.5–9
8Tyler O'Neill singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 2nd.4–9
8Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to center fielder TJ Friedl. Cedric Mullins scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.4–8
7Jordan Westburg homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.4–7
7Ramón Laureano homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.4–6
6TJ Friedl singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Jake Fraley scores. Jeimer Candelario to 3rd.4–5
3Ramón Laureano homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler O'Neill scores.3–5
2Gunnar Henderson doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Ramón Urías scores.3–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










