D-backs at Cubs
Last play · Geraldo Perdomo grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
AZ 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 6 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 5.5 ↑
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Cubs favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Tucker triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to second baseman Tim Tawa. Ian Happ scores. (inning 1) — +14% Cubs
9Tim Tawa homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–6
2Michael Busch homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–6
2Seiya Suzuki homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. Jon Berti scores.1–5
2Kyle Tucker grounds out, pitcher Zac Gallen to first baseman Josh Naylor. Miguel Amaya scores. Jon Berti to 2nd.1–3
1Michael Busch singles on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Kyle Tucker scores.1–2
1Kyle Tucker triples (2) on a sharp fly ball to second baseman Tim Tawa. Ian Happ scores.1–1
1Corbin Carroll homers (7) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










