Cardinals at Mets
Last play · Yohel Pozo grounds out, shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso.
Win probability
Mets100%
STL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 2 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 6.5 ↑
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Juan Soto scores. (inning 3) — +12% Mets
8Pete Alonso homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.0–3
3Pete Alonso doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Juan Soto scores.0–2
3Juan Soto singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Luisangel Acuña scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










