Last play · Jonathan Aranda homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Christopher Morel scores.
Win probability
Rays100%
NYY 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
NYY 6 – 4 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference
-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Chandler Simpson scores. Taylor Walls scores. (inning 9) — +49% Rays
10Jonathan Aranda homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field. Christopher Morel scores.8–10
9Brandon Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Chandler Simpson scores. Taylor Walls scores.8–8
9Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Ben Rortvedt scores. Chandler Simpson to 3rd.8–6
9Chandler Simpson hits a ground-rule double (1) on a line drive down the left-field line. José Caballero scores. Ben Rortvedt to 3rd.8–5
9Paul Goldschmidt singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Junior Caminero. Pablo Reyes scores.8–4
9Aaron Judge singles on a ground ball to left fielder Kameron Misner. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Pablo Reyes to 3rd.7–4
4Ben Rortvedt singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Kameron Misner scores. José Caballero scores.6–4
4Jake Mangum singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jasson Domínguez. Junior Caminero scores.6–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
NYY8–
TB10