Twins at Braves
Last play · Byron Buxton grounds out softly, pitcher Pierce Johnson to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Braves100%
MIN 0%ATL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 6 ATL
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Braves favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 1) — +17% Braves
7Byron Buxton homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.2–6
5Marcell Ozuna homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–6
4Brooks Lee flies out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.1–5
3Drake Baldwin homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Michael Harris II scores.0–5
2Austin Riley singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Harrison Bader. Jarred Kelenic scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.0–3
1Matt Olson homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Marcell Ozuna scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










