Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Cal Stevenson grounds out, second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Eric Wagaman.
Win probability
Phillies0%
MIA 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+255 / -320
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Javier Sanoja homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 8) — -61% Marlins
10Javier Sanoja singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cal Stevenson. Dane Myers scores.7–5
10Kyle Stowers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Connor Norby scores.6–5
8Cal Stevenson singles on a ground ball to second baseman Otto Lopez. Nick Castellanos scores. Max Kepler to 3rd.5–5
8Javier Sanoja homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Connor Norby scores. Otto Lopez scores.5–4
7Xavier Edwards reaches on a fielding error by second baseman Bryson Stott. Javier Sanoja scores. Matt Mervis to 3rd.2–4
4Rafael Marchán singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Alec Bohm scores. Johan Rojas to 2nd.1–4
2Javier Sanoja out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Johan Rojas. Dane Myers scores.1–3
1Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Stowers. Bryce Harper scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










