Cardinals at Mets
Last play · Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mets100%
STL 0%NYM 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 3 NYM
Mets led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Mets favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Thomas Saggese doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nolan Gorman scores. Michael Siani scores. (inning 7) — -36% Cardinals
9Lars Nootbaar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Michael Siani scores.4–7
8Juan Soto doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Lindor scores.3–7
8Tyrone Taylor doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Luisangel Acuña scores.3–5
7Brandon Nimmo singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Siani. Francisco Lindor scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.3–4
7Thomas Saggese doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Nolan Gorman scores. Michael Siani scores.3–3
6Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Pete Alonso. Brendan Donovan scores.1–3
5Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Juan Soto scores.0–3
3Juan Soto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Tyrone Taylor scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










