Guardians at Pirates
Last play · Enmanuel Valdez lines out sharply to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CLE 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 0 PIT
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Pirates favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Adam Frazier scores. (inning 9) — +42% Pirates
10Kyle Manzardo out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tommy Pham. Jhonkensy Noel scores.5–4
9Ke'Bryan Hayes singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Adam Frazier scores.4–4
9Adam Frazier doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Enmanuel Valdez scores. Tommy Pham scores.4–3
7Kyle Manzardo homers (6) on a line drive to right center field. José Ramírez scores.4–1
6Andrew McCutchen doubles (3) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Bryan Reynolds scores.2–1
3Steven Kwan homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Brayan Rocchio scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.










